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Leave opens up gap on Remain in Brexit poll

Post Brexit, the United Kingdom would follow a pattern similar to that followed by other non-EU European countries.

"Leave" is also enjoying a larger margin when the telephone poll is taken in isolation, with the results from this putting "Remain" five points behind (at 45 per cent of voters, compared to 50 per cent backing Brexit and five per cent who have yet to make up their minds).

The FTSE 100 ended the day down by 70.79 points, or 1.16 percent, at 6044.97, its lowest close since the second week in March.

"Although there has been some convergence in recent weeks, phone polls continue to show a "Remain" lead in the region of 10 per cent while the online polls are calling it neck and neck, with indications of a small lead for "Leave".

Two new polls by ICM, which published both phone and online surveys, showed the "Leave" side opening up a 5 percentage-point lead over "Remain". With evidence that his message is failing to cut through, Cameron has turned to the opposition Labour Party to save him.

Support for a British exit from the European Union appears to be growing, with a series of polls showing a "Leave" vote in next week's referendum is increasingly likely.

The ORB survey highlights the stark generational differences over the EU.

The ICM polls excluded respondents who answered "don't know", but the public opinion researcher said the polls showed uncertain answers were falling in number. "These include people who might otherwise have voted to remain in the European Union".

"The market's perception of Brexit probabilities may have been reduced in the last 24 hours but this is going to have a limited impact on currency markets unless it is followed through by polls released in the coming days", said Hans Redeker, Morgan Stanley's head of currency strategy.

The results of the new polls became a subject of speculation among journalists and traders on blogs and social media sites for much of the afternoon.

 

 



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